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Random Variable - Mean and Variance


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Random Variable: We all know about a random experiment while studying the theory of probability. To every outcome of random variable a real number can be associated. Random variable denotes nothing but this correspondence between the elements of sample space associated with the random experiement with the set of real numbers. A particular outcome of random variable is called random variate.

Depending upon the type of value assumed by it the random variable is divided into two types:

1.Discrete random variable: When the random variable assumes values which are countable, the random variable is called discrete.

2.Continuous random variable: When the random variable assumes values which are continuous, the random variable is called continuous.


Probability Distribution: Now, suppose a random variables assumes values x1, x2, x3 .... xn with probability of each value being p1, p2, p3 ....... pn respectively. Then we can define the probability distribution as:

X:              x1    x2    x3    ................    xn

P(X):          p1    p2    p3    ...............    pn

It is nothing but a table giving the probability of occurence of each value of the random variable.

The


Remember: The probability of each value of random variable must satisfy: Σpi = 1

Let us take an example.


Example
: Three cards are drawn from a pack of 52 cards.Find the probability distribution of the number of the aces. [CBSE 2001]

Solution: P (X = 0) Probability of getting no ace = 48C3/52C3  =    4324/5525
               P (X = 1) Probability of getting one ace = 48C2 X 4C1/52C3 = 1128/5525
               P (X = 2) Probability of getting two aces = 48C1 X 4C2/52C3 = 72/5525
               P (X = 3) Probability of getting three aces = 4C3/52C3  = 1/5525


Mean of a discrete random variable: Mean of a random variable {also called expected value or mathematical expectation E(X)} is the mean of its probability distribution. Suppose a discrete random variable assumes values x1, x2, x3 .... xn and their respective probabilities are p1,p2,p3 ..... pn, then the mean of this random variable is given by:



Note
: In case of frequency distribution, the proabability of each value can be calculated from its frequency.
i.e, pi = fi / (f1 + f2 + f3 .............. + fn) = fi / N .

Example: Suppose a insurance agent sells life insurance to people and the probability of selling the various number of insuance in a day as seen from his performance sheet is given by:

Numbers sold in a day:   0        1        2        3        4        5
Probability:                   0.1     0.2      0.25    0.2    0.15     0.1

Solution:   


Variance of a discrete random variable: If X is a discrete random variable which takes values x1, x2, x3 .... xn, with p1, p2, p3 ....... pn respectively being their probabilities then the variane X is defined as: